Coronavirus

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Rasmusb
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Re: Coronavirus

#81

Post by Rasmusb » Fri Feb 07, 2020 9:58 am

Hanley wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:56 am
mbasic wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:29 amI surely hope we a NOT talking about a lost benchpress PR.
Please say it was a deadlift or squat PR.
all of them

it was all of them

*stares vacantly into middle distance*
tenor (3).gif
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Hiphopapotamus
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Re: Coronavirus

#82

Post by Hiphopapotamus » Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:01 am

Rasmusb wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 9:58 am
Hanley wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:56 am
mbasic wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:29 amI surely hope we a NOT talking about a lost benchpress PR.
Please say it was a deadlift or squat PR.
all of them

it was all of them

*stares vacantly into middle distance*
tenor (3).gif
Image

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iamsmu
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Re: Coronavirus

#83

Post by iamsmu » Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:04 am

Another outbreak? on yet another one of the Incubators of the Sea. This one's in NJ.



Hmmm. Looks like they let everyone off the boat so they could spread the virus as it continues to incubate around NJ and just took a few sick people to the hospital.

https://nypost.com/2020/02/07/four-peop ... n-bayonne/

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mbasic
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Re: Coronavirus

#84

Post by mbasic » Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:20 am

Timing is curious. In about 8 days is World Pangolin Day....

hmmmmm.....

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Re: Coronavirus

#85

Post by mbasic » Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:24 am

iamsmu wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:04 am Another outbreak? on yet another one of the Incubators of the Sea. This one's in NJ.

Hmmm. Looks like they let everyone off the boat so they could spread the virus as it continues to incubate around NJ and just took a few sick people to the hospital.
re cruise ships.

They travel pretty slow at sea.
And the outbreak epicenter was fairly inland at Wuhan.

The NJ ship I don't get, seems like they'd be at sea and/or only near coast doing their coastal stops here and there.
So it would have to be prefect timing for a Wuhan indidividual to get infected, get to the coast, get on a cruise, sit on a boat for 2-3 weeks, etc.
I mean, not by any means impossible sure, but really perfect timing.

The Japan one, yes, no brainer.

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Re: Coronavirus

#86

Post by iamsmu » Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:36 am

mbasic wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:24 am
iamsmu wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:04 am Another outbreak? on yet another one of the Incubators of the Sea. This one's in NJ.

Hmmm. Looks like they let everyone off the boat so they could spread the virus as it continues to incubate around NJ and just took a few sick people to the hospital.
re cruise ships.

They travel pretty slow at sea.
And the outbreak epicenter was fairly inland at Wuhan.

The NJ ship I don't get, seems like they'd be at sea and/or only near coast doing their coastal stops here and there.
So it would have to be prefect timing for a Wuhan indidividual to get infected, get to the coast, get on a cruise, sit on a boat for 2-3 weeks, etc.
I mean, not by any means impossible sure, but really perfect timing.

The Japan one, yes, no brainer.
The CDC must have come to a similar conclusion.

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Re: Coronavirus

#87

Post by mbasic » Fri Feb 07, 2020 11:38 am

this study kills my male smoker (iow: shitty lungs) hypothesis.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/f ... le/2761044
It states infection rate between men and women were about the same....

...and :
However, there was no difference in the proportion of men and women between ICU patients and non-ICU patients. These data differ from the recent report that showed 2019-nCoV infection is more likely to affect males.8 The possible explanation is that the nCoV infection in patients in the previous report was related to exposure associated with the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, and most of the affected patients were male workers.
EDIT:
oh, and, more importantly.
mortality was 4.3%
n=138 or however that is expressed

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Re: Coronavirus

#88

Post by iamsmu » Fri Feb 07, 2020 1:49 pm

Is this fake or from a horror movie?


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Re: Coronavirus

#89

Post by mbasic » Fri Feb 07, 2020 3:09 pm

lolz


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Re: Coronavirus

#90

Post by mbasic » Fri Feb 07, 2020 3:42 pm

I dismissed this a few days ago.
But it appears to be a thing now.
The numbers that China releases every day yield a 2.1% mortality rate .... every day.

the latest numbers? 717/34048 = 2.105%

@mgil ... what are the odds you math whizz?

https://www.zerohedge.com/health/there- ... us-numbers
First, one can't help but wonder if China is goalseeking either the number of deaths or the number of news cases, because every single day, the death rate has been steady at 2.1% +/- 0.1%. a surprisingly stable relationship
I'm pretty sure that's impossible.
Buts what's more amazing, the 2.1% thing has been circulating for a few days now ...
....so you'd think their army of online social media trolls would catch wind of that and make
the people down at the Dept. of Propaganda and Censorship aware that some of the citizenry are on to it now.

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Re: Coronavirus

#91

Post by mgil » Fri Feb 07, 2020 4:26 pm

Not enough data.

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Re: Coronavirus

#92

Post by iamsmu » Fri Feb 07, 2020 5:04 pm

Here's someone tweeting about it. Let's see what it looks like in a few more days.


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Re: Coronavirus

#93

Post by Rasmusb » Fri Feb 07, 2020 6:08 pm

iamsmu wrote: Fri Feb 07, 2020 5:04 pm Here's someone tweeting about it. Let's see what it looks like in a few more days.

This one is pretty scary actually. His forecast number for today is pretty damn close. [th][/th][th]Forecast[/th] [th]Actual[/th]
Infected34,53734,598
Dead724723
EDIT: Fuck! I can't make anything work in this text editor...

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Re: Coronavirus

#94

Post by Rasmusb » Fri Feb 07, 2020 7:45 pm

Then again... We are not seeing numbers run amok in other more trustworthy countries. Unless it's a worldwide cover up - seems unlikely to me.

Actually, mortality is way down in cases outside of China and we're not seeing infections spread uncontrolled.

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Re: Coronavirus

#95

Post by mbasic » Sat Feb 08, 2020 6:50 am

That virus festered for a month or so unchecked.

Rest of world is overreacting, in a good way.

Maybe you got to hit with a good exposure/dose of it to get really sick. in the one hospital in Wuhan, at the University hospital, it's something like 20% of the patients there were the medical workers that we're dealing with the people you had it.

Then everything else: dense populous area, old people, smokers, air pollution, spitting thing, etc

To the age thing: pretty sure China has a very disproportionate old person problem due to the one-child policy of decades past.

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Re: Coronavirus

#96

Post by iamsmu » Sat Feb 08, 2020 11:06 am

Another, is this real video.


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Re: Coronavirus

#97

Post by mbasic » Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:16 pm

806/37115 = 2.16%

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Re: Coronavirus

#98

Post by iamsmu » Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:35 pm

mbasic wrote: Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:16 pm 806/37115 = 2.16%
That guy predicted:
Tomorrow:
~39663 confirmed, ~814 dead
Sunday:
~44358 confirmed, 904 dead
Pretty close. Tomorrow will be interesting.


Did you see that they are now saying it can spread via aerosol transmission, perhaps up to 10 meters from a sneeze. There's no stopping it.

https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202002/ ... 75fc3.html

Yes, I'm still considering getting a UVC light to disinfect surfaces at work and my phone if I use it in a store. . . .

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Re: Coronavirus

#99

Post by mbasic » Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:38 pm

iamsmu wrote: Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:35 pm
mbasic wrote: Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:16 pm 806/37115 = 2.16%
That guy predicted:
Tomorrow:
~39663 confirmed, ~814 dead
Sunday:
~44358 confirmed, 904 dead
Pretty close. Tomorrow will be interesting.


Did you see that they are now saying it can spread via aerosol transmission, perhaps up to 10 meters from a sneeze. There's no stopping it.

https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202002/ ... 75fc3.html
Yeah.

I wonder if people over there know the masks are a one time use thing .....

Like the "quarantines", if this shit isn't implemented correctly it could make things worse.

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Re: Coronavirus

#100

Post by iamsmu » Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:46 pm

mbasic wrote: Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:38 pm
Yeah.

I wonder if people over there know the masks are a one time use thing .....

Like the "quarantines", if this shit isn't implemented correctly it could make things worse.
Is there anyway to disinfect a mask?

-----

It's unclear. You have to handle it as if it's toxic.

https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/topics/hcwcon ... xtuse.html

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